For decades, the United States — especially Florida — has been a winter refuge for Canadian snowbirds. But in 2026, their numbers are noticeably shrinking, driven by political tensions, rising costs and an unfavourable exchange rate.
While some Canadians continue to return to their winter homes, tourism officials say visits from Canada to southwest Florida have declined by more than seven per cent over the past year. Real estate agents in the region report softer home prices and fewer Canadian buyers, citing high insurance costs after recent hurricanes, rising condo and homeowners’ association fees, and the weak Canadian dollar.
Politics is also playing a growing role. Realtors and travel industry representatives say some Canadians are choosing to avoid the U.S. altogether because of anger and discomfort over President Donald Trump’s policies and rhetoric. According to the Canadian Snowbird Association, overall Canadian snowbird travel to U.S. destinations is down about 12 per cent this season, with some travellers opting instead for Mexico or the Caribbean.
National data reinforces the trend. Statistics Canada reports Canadian travel to the U.S. dropped more than 26 per cent in October compared to a year earlier, even as travel by Americans to Canada increased. Concerns about border scrutiny, immigration enforcement and high travel costs are adding to hesitation, particularly among older travellers.
Still, not all snowbirds are staying away. Some long-time visitors say they are choosing to focus on climate and lifestyle rather than politics, though many admit they are avoiding political discussions altogether.
Tourism officials note that new nonstop flights from Canada to Florida may help soften the decline, but the broader picture suggests a shift in traditional snowbird patterns. For many Canadians in 2026, the pull of the U.S. winter sun is no longer as strong as it once was.