New national polling data suggests Prime Minister Mark Carney and the federal Liberal Party of Canada are continuing to gain political momentum across the country, with recent surveys pointing toward a potential majority-government scenario if an election were held today.
According to the latest analysis from political polling aggregator 338Canada, multiple new polls released by major firms including Léger, Nanos Research, Ipsos, Abacus Data and Liaison Strategies all show growing Liberal strength nationwide.
The most striking numbers came from Léger, which measured the Liberals with a 14-point national lead over the Conservative Party of Canada — an increase from the nine-point advantage recorded just one month earlier.
The poll suggests Liberal support has strengthened in nearly every region of the country.
In Ontario, the Liberals were measured at 52 per cent support compared to 36 per cent for the Conservatives. In Quebec, the Liberals opened a commanding 23-point lead over the Bloc Québécois.
Perhaps most surprising was the situation in British Columbia, where polling over the past year had often shown a near tie between Liberals and Conservatives. The latest Léger survey instead gives the Liberals a double-digit advantage while support for the New Democratic Party has sharply declined.
Analysts say if these numbers were reflected in an election campaign, the Liberals would likely secure a strong parliamentary majority with seat gains in nearly every major region.
Government approval ratings have also risen significantly.
Léger’s latest tracking shows 61 per cent of Canadians currently approve of the Carney government, while only 31 per cent disapprove. Approval ratings are now reportedly higher than levels seen during the government’s initial post-election honeymoon period last summer.
The government’s approval remains positive in every region of Canada, including traditionally Conservative-leaning Alberta, where net approval sits above water.
Polling also suggests some voters from opposition parties are giving the federal government positive marks. Approximately one-quarter of Conservative voters surveyed expressed approval of the government, alongside nearly half of Bloc Québécois supporters and a majority of NDP voters.
Another important finding from the latest polling is that Canadians appear to have little appetite for another federal election in the near future.
Analysts suggest many voters may prefer political stability amid ongoing economic pressures, global uncertainty and affordability concerns.
The polling trends mark a dramatic shift in the federal political landscape over recent months and present growing challenges for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, whose party had spent much of the past two years leading national surveys before the recent Liberal resurgence.