With advance polls opening this week, Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives (PCs) continue to hold a 15-point lead over their closest rivals, according to the latest Nanos Research survey.
The poll, released Sunday, shows the PCs with 45.2% support among decided voters, while the Liberals sit at 29.5%, the NDP at 17.7%, and the Greens at 5.4%. Meanwhile, 8.8% of voters remain undecided as the campaign heads into its final weeks.
“The Progressive Conservatives enjoy a 15-point advantage in ballot box support with about two weeks left in the election campaign,” said Nik Nanos, chief data scientist for Nanos Research. “Ford has a comfortable advantage as the leader Ontarians would prefer as premier.”
The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) remains a stronghold for the Progressive Conservatives, where they lead with 56.7% support among decided voters. The Liberals trail at 30.9%, while the NDP sits at 7.7% and the Green Party at 4.1%.
Ford is also the preferred choice for premier in the GTA, with 46.4% of voters backing him. Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie follows at 27.2%, while NDP leader Marit Stiles has 10% support, and Green Party leader Mike Schreiner sits at 5.1%.
Ford’s strongest support comes from male voters, with 50% preferring him as premier and 55.6% of decided male voters backing the PCs. Crombie trails at 19.6%, followed by Stiles at 12.7%, and Schreiner at 6.9%.
Among female voters, Ford also leads with 30.4% support, narrowly ahead of Crombie at 29%. Stiles follows with 20.2%, and Schreiner at 7.5%.
Across Ontario, Ford remains the top choice for premier with 40% support. Crombie holds 24.4%, Stiles has 16.5%, and Schreiner follows at 7.2%.
The survey also found that 4% of voters preferred none of the candidates, while 7.9% were undecided.
The Nanos survey was conducted using a three-day rolling sample of 300 interviews per day, with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
With just two weeks left in the campaign, the PCs remain in a strong position, particularly in key battlegrounds, as Ontarians prepare to cast their ballots.