Thu. Nov 13th, 2025

Poll Shows Liberal-Conservative Race Tightens with Carney as Leader

A new Angus Reid survey reveals that voter support between the Liberal and Conservative parties narrows significantly if Mark Carney were to lead the Liberals, bringing the race to a near deadlock.

According to the poll, Conservatives hold 40% support, while Liberals climb to 37% under Carney’s hypothetical leadership. The NDP sees a significant drop, losing nearly half its support from 21% to 10%, as left-leaning voters shift toward the Liberals.

Key Findings:

  • Ontario Remains a Battleground: Liberal and Conservative support is neck-and-neck, with 45% backing the Conservatives and 44% supporting the Liberals.
  • Quebec Vote Split: The Liberals (31%) and Bloc Québécois (30%) are tied, with the Conservatives trailing by nine points.
  • Poilievre’s Rising Unfavourability: Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is viewed unfavorably by 56% of Canadians, marking his highest negative rating since taking over leadership.
  • Jagmeet Singh’s Struggles: The NDP leader holds the lowest net favorability rating (-25), with support remaining positive only among young women.
  • Top Issues for Canadians: The cost of living (52%), health care (39%), and relations with the United States (34%) dominate voter concerns.

With the next federal election cycle approaching, the hypothetical candidacy of Mark Carney appears to shake up the political landscape, raising questions about potential shifts in voter loyalty.

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