A growing number of Canadians believe crime in their communities is increasing, despite data showing declines in major crimes across several large cities.
An Angus Reid Institute survey found that 62 per cent of Canadians think crime has risen in their community over the past five years, while only five per cent believe it has decreased.
“Perception versus reality are often two different things,” said Chris Lewis, a retired Ontario Provincial Police commissioner. “But what’s really important is that people don’t feel safe.”
Crime statistics tell a different story. In 2025, homicides and shootings in Ottawa fell by more than 20 per cent year over year. Calgary recorded its fewest homicides in a decade, while Vancouver saw declines in assaults and robberies. Toronto reported 42 homicides, its lowest total since 1986.
Experts say public perception is heavily shaped by media and social media coverage. Toronto Metropolitan University criminology professor Kim Varma said most people are not reviewing official crime statistics.
“Public perception often comes from media and social media,” Varma said.
Lewis added that widely shared videos of smash-and-grab robberies and other violent incidents can amplify fear, even if such crimes are statistically rare.
Public anxiety has also been influenced by past spikes in crime. In 2022, auto thefts reached record levels across Canada, and public comments from police advising residents to leave car keys accessible during home invasions left a lasting impact.
“That messaging suggested police couldn’t protect you,” Varma said. “That erodes trust and a sense of safety.”
Concerns about repeat violent offenders have also contributed to unease. The federal government introduced legislation last year to tighten bail rules, but the bill has yet to pass Parliament.
Experts say closing the gap between perception and reality will require clearer communication, better public understanding of crime data and addressing the issues that most strongly affect how safe people feel in their daily lives.